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EI

electroCore, Inc. (ECOR)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Record revenue and a top-line beat: Q2 2025 net sales were $7.38M (+20% y/y, +9.8% q/q), above S&P Global consensus revenue of $7.24M; GAAP EPS was -$0.44 vs -$0.325 consensus, reflecting higher SG&A and a TAC-STIM bad debt charge. Revenue beat; EPS miss. (Consensus values from S&P Global)*
  • Gross margin remained strong at 87% (vs 86% y/y; 85% in Q1), driven by VA channel growth and Truvaga, despite increased operating investments.
  • Reiterated FY25 revenue guidance of ~$30.0M; raised net cash usage outlook for the remainder of 2025 to $3.9–$4.4M (from $3.8–$4.3M in Q1).
  • Liquidity and investment to accelerate growth: closed a $7.2M net term debt facility with Avenue Capital; management increased the revenue level needed for cash breakeven to ~$11.5–$12.0M per quarter (from ~$9.5M), prioritizing long-term growth.
  • Key catalysts: VA channel re-acceleration, Quell Fibromyalgia launch into VA, Truvaga scaling (Apple Health integration), and expanded commercial talent; risks include higher near-term OpEx, TAC‑STIM receivable risk, and ongoing IP litigation with an alleged copycat.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • VA returned to sequential growth; VA revenue rose from $4.72M in Q1 to $5.19M in Q2, underpinning the record quarter. “The VA hospital system continues to be our largest customer and…returned to above market growth in that channel.”
    • Strong gross margins sustained at 87% (vs 86% y/y; 85% in Q1), supporting operating leverage as top line scales.
    • Truvaga DTC momentum y/y with Apple Health integration and executive hire; Q2 Truvaga sales were $0.99M (+74% y/y), and the $500 Truvaga Plus SKU now accounts for ~80% of mix.
  • What Went Wrong

    • EPS miss driven by elevated SG&A: SG&A rose to $9.44M (+$2.18M y/y), including $0.55M of TAC-STIM receivables bad debt; GAAP net loss widened to -$3.67M.
    • Truvaga sequential softness: despite +74% y/y, management called the sequential decline “frustrating,” citing media efficiency ratio dipping to ~2.0 vs higher levels late last year.
    • Increased breakeven target: management raised the revenue level needed to reach cash positivity to ~$11.5–$12.0M/quarter (from ~$9.5M) due to accelerated growth investments, delaying profitability.

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($M)$6.14 $6.72 $7.38
Gross Profit ($M)$5.30 $5.71 $6.44
Gross Margin (%)86% 85% 87%
Total Operating Expenses ($M)$7.89 $9.53 $9.95
GAAP Net Loss ($M)$(2.66) $(3.86) $(3.67)
GAAP EPS ($)$(0.38) $(0.47) $(0.44)
Adjusted EBITDA Net Loss ($M)$(1.92) $(3.05) $(2.38)

Actual vs. S&P Global Consensus – Q2 2025

MetricActualConsensusSurprise
Revenue ($M)$7.381$7.237*+$0.144 (≈+2.0%)*
GAAP EPS ($)$(0.44)$(0.325)*-$0.115 (miss)*

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Channel/Segment detail – Q2 2025

Channel ($000s)Q2 2024Q2 2025y/y
Rx gammaCore – VA$4,572 $5,185 +13%
Rx gammaCore – U.S. Commercial$476 $394 -17%
Rx Quell – VA$114 N/A
Quell – Commercial$48 N/A
Outside the United States$464 $465 Flat
Truvaga (DTC)$572 $994 +74%
TAC-STIM$55 $181 +229%
Total Net Sales$6,139 $7,381 +20%

KPIs and Operating Metrics

KPIQ2 2025Prior Period/Context
VA facilities purchasing gammaCore (cumulative)188 175 a year ago
Veterans dispensed gammaCore (cumulative)~10,700 (~2% of addressable VA headache market) ~9,500 as of Q1 2025
Truvaga Q2 revenue$0.994M $1.106M in Q1 (sequential decline noted)
Truvaga ROAS (media efficiency)~2.0x in Q2 2.26x in Q1; higher late 2024
Truvaga returns~10–11% of shipments ~10–11% prior periods
Truvaga installed base/sessions>16,000 handsets; >1.1M app sessions >14,000 handsets; >0.5M sessions (Q1 call)
U.S. Rx revenue$0.394M $0.289M Q1 2025
OUS revenue$0.465M $0.513M Q1 2025
Quell Fibromyalgia rampRx VA $0.114M; Commercial $0.048M Integration completed ahead of schedule

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Total RevenueFY 2025≈$30.0M (Q1 guide) ≈$30.0M (reiterated) Maintained
Net Cash Used (remainder of year)2H 2025$3.8–$4.3M (for next three quarters as of Q1) $3.9–$4.4M (remainder of year) Slight increase
Pro forma YE Cash (incl. debt tranche 1)12/31/2025≈$10.5M New disclosure
Cash neutrality rev run-rateQuarterly~$9.5M (prior commentary) ~$11.5–$12.0M (after investment) Raised threshold

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’24, Q1’25)Current Period (Q2’25)Trend
VA channelStrong growth; 170 facilities; sequential re-accel in Q1 VA revenue +12% q/q to $5.19M; 188 facilities Positive re-acceleration
Truvaga DTCStrong 2024 ROAS (2.7–3.0); Amazon launch (Feb) $0.99M (+74% y/y) but sequentially down; ROAS ~2.0; Apple Health integration Mixed: y/y strong, q/q softness; building ecosystem
Quell (Neurometrix)Deal announced; plan to leverage VA; supply ramping Integration ahead of schedule; initial VA/Commercial revenue; production in Rockaway Positive early ramp
Tariffs/Supply chainMinimal exposure; mid-80s GM expected Tariff costs immaterial ($5.6k in Q2) Stable/low risk
Regulatory/LegalPTSD indication path; FDA meeting planned Ongoing NJ federal court filings against copycat; no further comment Emerging legal defense
Financing/LiquidityYE24 cash $12.2M; considering levers $7.2M net debt facility (Avenue); pro forma YE cash ≈$10.5M Improved liquidity for growth
Sales forceRebuild/expand W2 + 1099 model ~80 commission agents; 12 TBMs; new hires ramp in 2H Capacity expanding

Management Commentary

  • “Electrocore posted record revenue in the second quarter and continues to evolve from a single product into a broad based bioelectronic technology company.”
  • “We model gross margins in the mid-80s going forward.”
  • “We are now investing in people, marketing and product to accelerate growth…likely delaying company wide profitability.”
  • “We entered into a term debt facility with Avenue Capital…$7.2M of additional net cash at closing…up to $2.5M convertible at $8.46 per share.”
  • “We’ll now need $11.5M–$12.0M of quarterly revenue to…demonstrate positive cash from operations… I expect that we’ll be able to hit those metrics later in 2026.”
  • CFO: “We are reiterating our full year revenue outlook…approximately $30.0M and net cash used…between $3.9M and $4.4M.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Truvaga SKU mix: “Our $500 Truvaga Plus…is accounting for about 80% of our revenue in the category.”
  • Patent/IP: Cross-complaints filed in U.S. District Court (NJ); management will not comment beyond public filings.
  • Quell ramp: Production line up in Rockaway; samples/demos in late June; expect material revenue contribution in 2H25.
  • Marketing spend cadence: SG&A variable elements scale with revenue (~30% blended); media efficiency ~2.0x in Q2; goal to improve KPIs with new digital health leadership.
  • Amazon: Early-stage; resolving plumbing/fulfillment; cautious on economics but see potential.

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 revenue beat: $7.381M actual vs $7.237M consensus; EPS miss: -$0.44 vs -$0.325 consensus; coverage depth: 4 estimates (revenue and EPS). (Values retrieved from S&P Global)*
  • Implications: Modest top-line upside from VA and Truvaga/TAC‑STIM, but higher SG&A (growth investments and receivable charge) weighed on EPS; models likely raise 2H OpEx and cash use, while keeping FY revenue intact given reiterated outlook.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Top-line trajectory intact with VA re-acceleration and early Quell contribution; FY25 ~$30M revenue reiterated.
  • Near-term profitability deferred as ECOR intentionally leans into growth; breakeven quarterly revenue lifted to ~$11.5–$12.0M. Expect higher OpEx through 2H25.
  • Liquidity improved via Avenue Capital debt; pro forma YE cash ≈$10.5M supports execution without near-term equity. Monitor covenants/convertible feature.
  • DTC opportunity remains attractive despite Q2 sequential softness; ROAS recovery initiatives (Apple Health integration, senior DTC hire) are key 2H catalysts.
  • Watch VA KPIs (facility count, veterans served) and Quell VA uptake as leading indicators of sustained growth into 2026.
  • Risk checks: TAC‑STIM receivable quality (bad debt expense), legal/IP costs, and potential variability in government/military procurement timing.
  • Setup: Balanced—revenue momentum and platform expansion vs higher burn in 2H; stock likely most sensitive to evidence of ROAS improvement, Quell VA ramp, and VA sequential growth.

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Sources:

  • Q2 2025 press release and 8-K: revenue, P&L, channel mix, guidance, non-GAAP reconciliation, balance sheet, Avenue Capital financing
  • Q2 2025 earnings call: strategy, VA/Truvaga/Quell details, breakeven threshold, tariff exposure, sales force, Q&A specifics
  • Q1 2025 press and call: sequential comps, DTC metrics, preliminary FY25 guidance
  • Q4 2024 call: historical KPIs, ROAS context, VA footprint baseline
  • Apple Health integration (Truvaga) press release